Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.190176 0.219536 0.253364 0.295554 0.347227 0.409060 0.489576
2025-03-30 0.143308 0.179707 0.226525 0.292520 0.385450 0.515358 0.717817
2025-04-06 0.118391 0.157664 0.212485 0.297508 0.431783 0.646802 1.043705
2025-04-13 0.099830 0.138939 0.196974 0.293891 0.461820 0.763690 1.413858
2025-04-20 0.088457 0.127809 0.189363 0.299137 0.506294 0.922607 1.973637
2025-04-27 0.080280 0.119813 0.184574 0.307102 0.557450 1.118222 2.788507
2025-05-04 0.073532 0.112847 0.179895 0.313623 0.607578 1.338350 3.918847
2025-05-11 0.068264 0.107454 0.176805 0.322148 0.665019 1.611774 5.632249
2025-05-18 0.063226 0.101694 0.171966 0.325769 0.712409 1.890481 7.919517
2025-05-25 0.058709 0.096244 0.166775 0.327325 0.755443 2.189787 11.105701
2025-06-01 0.054428 0.090691 0.160513 0.325006 0.787422 2.479478 15.267419
2025-06-08 0.050383 0.085122 0.153417 0.319183 0.807461 2.744288 20.505062
2025-06-15 0.048099 0.082740 0.152731 0.329484 0.884270 3.350790 33.931757
2025-06-22 0.044705 0.077847 0.146068 0.323135 0.904407 3.714587 48.317218
2025-06-29 0.042504 0.075105 0.143737 0.327938 0.967415 4.413546 82.795389
2025-07-06 0.039900 0.071287 0.138498 0.323584 0.994914 4.947287 130.576037
2025-07-13 0.038207 0.069184 0.136913 0.329445 1.067453 5.947540 265.368004
2025-07-20 0.036840 0.067626 0.136393 0.338443 1.159827 7.343774 680.315264
2025-07-27 0.035485 0.065963 0.135397 0.345828 1.250873 9.018262 2230.063498
2025-08-03 0.034343 0.064653 0.135100 0.355498 1.361218 11.342372 14595.091630
2025-08-10 0.033016 0.062814 0.133244 0.359608 1.446972 13.774468 359933.966003
2025-08-17 0.031686 0.060854 0.130845 0.361375 1.522708 16.513711 NaN
2025-08-24 0.030272 0.058594 0.127406 0.358741 1.572242 19.159286 NaN